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Abdolrezaei, H, Siahkali, H and Olamaei, J (2021) Coordination of similar days and multi-objective posterior process to predict energy of transmission substation. Journal of Engineering, Design and Technology, 19(6), 1556-85.
- Type: Journal Article
- Keywords: accuracy; forecasting; repairs; optimization
- ISBN/ISSN:
- URL: 10.1108/JEDT-09-2020-0353
- Abstract:
This paper aims to present a hybrid model to mid-term forecast the load of transmission substations based on the knowledge of expert site and multi-objective posterior framework. The main important challenges in load forecasting are the different behavior of load in specific days. Regular days, holidays and special holidays, days after a holidays and days of load shifting are characterized by abnormal load profiles. The knowledge of these days is verified by expert operators in regional dispatching centers. In this paper, a hybrid model for power prediction of transmission substations based on the combination of similar day selection and multi-objective posterior technique has been proposed. In the first step, the important data for prediction is provided. Posterior method is used in the second step for prediction that it is based on kernel functions. A multi-objective optimization has been formulated with three type of output accuracy measurement function that it is solved by non-dominated sorting genetic technique II (NSGT-II) method. TOPSIS way is used to find the best point of Pareto. The presented method has been tested in four scenarios for three different transmission stations, and the test results have been compared. The presented results indicate that the presentation method has better results and is robust to different load characteristics, which can be used for better forecasting of different stations for better planning of repairs and network operation. The main contributions of this paper can be categorized as follows: A hybrid model based on similar days selection and multi-objective framework posterior is presented. Similar day selection is done by expert site that the day type and days with scheduled repair are considered. Hyperparameters of posterior process are found by NSGT-II based on TOPSIS method.
Chellappa, V, Srivastava, V and Salve, U R (2021) A systematic review of construction workers' health and safety research in India. Journal of Engineering, Design and Technology, 19(6), 1488-504.
Eken, T Y, Sarioglu, C and Kucuk, I (2021) Corrosion behaviour of twin-roll cast 8006 aluminium alloy foil with different thicknesses for the food packaging industry. Journal of Engineering, Design and Technology, 19(6), 1421-32.
Evans, M, Farrell, P, Zewein, W and Mashali, A (2021) Analysis framework for the interactions between building information modelling (BIM) and lean construction on construction mega-projects. Journal of Engineering, Design and Technology, 19(6), 1451-71.
Faraji, A (2021) Neuro-fuzzy system based model for prediction of project performance in downstream sector of petroleum industry in Iran. Journal of Engineering, Design and Technology, 19(6), 1268-90.
Heidari, A, Imani, D M and Khalilzadeh, M (2021) A hub location model in the sustainable supply chain considering customer segmentation. Journal of Engineering, Design and Technology, 19(6), 1387-420.
Hongsheng, T, Changwen, H and Chenye, G (2021) Development of a rotatable similar simulation experimental system for steep coal seam mining. Journal of Engineering, Design and Technology, 19(6), 1373-86.
Hulio, Z H, Yousufzai, G and Jiang, W (2021) Statistical analysis of wind resource and energy potential assessment of Quaidabad site, Sindh Pakistan. Journal of Engineering, Design and Technology, 19(6), 1291-316.
Mahmud, A T, Ogunlana, S O and Hong, W T (2021) Key driving factors of cost overrun in highway infrastructure projects in Nigeria: a context-based perspective. Journal of Engineering, Design and Technology, 19(6), 1530-55.
Malge, A M and Pawar, P M (2021) Wind tunnel and numerical study of multi-storey vertical axis wind turbines with different configurations. Journal of Engineering, Design and Technology, 19(6), 1358-72.
Mdibi, L, Van Zyl, R, Kosch, M and Ward, J (2021) A land-based HF transmitter for ionospheric propagation studies using SuperDARN radars. Journal of Engineering, Design and Technology, 19(6), 1648-59.
Ostakh, O, Uzyakova, E, Grechishcheva, N and Kusheeva, V (2021) Ecotoxicological assessment of soil-like mixtures made of drill cuttings. Journal of Engineering, Design and Technology, 19(6), 1433-50.
Othman, A A E and Alamoudy, F O (2021) Optimising building performance through integrating risk management and building information modelling during the design process. Journal of Engineering, Design and Technology, 19(6), 1233-67.
Pandian, A N and Palanivelu, A (2021) Metaheuristic optimization based placement of SVCs with multiple objectives. Journal of Engineering, Design and Technology, 19(6), 1586-600.
Perera, B A K S, Sirimewan, D C and Senadeera, A D (2021) Management of variations in the public-sector building construction projects in Sri Lanka. Journal of Engineering, Design and Technology, 19(6), 1601-19.
Roy, S, Majumder, S, Bhattacharya, S and Sardar, I H (2021) Simulation and analysis of the effects of room surface reflectance combinations on a proposed retrofit illumination system of an office. Journal of Engineering, Design and Technology, 19(6), 1620-47.
Sibanda, V, Mpofu, K and Trimble, J (2021) Methodology for the design of a reconfigurable guillotine shear and bending press machine (RGS&BPM). Journal of Engineering, Design and Technology, 19(6), 1317-43.
Somani, N, Singh, N and Gupta, N K (2021) Joining and characterization of SS-430 using microwave hybrid heating technique. Journal of Engineering, Design and Technology, 19(6), 1344-57.
van Tonder, P and Low, M S (2021) The effect of CO loading on the properties of normal concrete vs fly ash concrete. Journal of Engineering, Design and Technology, 19(6), 1472-87.
Yembi Renault, B, Agumba, J N and Ansary, N (2021) Regression analysis of the influence of demographic characteristics using risk management practices within South African small and medium construction enterprises. Journal of Engineering, Design and Technology, 19(6), 1505-29.